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Events (10)
- 11 August 2026 | 2:15 amCanberra ACT, Australia
- 30 September 2026 | 10:00 pmCanberra ACT, Australia
- 17 November 2026 | 1:15 amCanberra ACT, Australia
Articles & Posts (242)
- Training as Combat Generation: The Case for a Systems Approach
'Training as Combat Generation: The Case for a Systems Approach' in Fight Tonight: Combat Readiness at the Speed of Relevance Proceedings - Paper 4, Sir Richard Williams Foundation Seminar, 23 April 2026 By Robbin Laird Alexander Robinson speaking to the 23 April 2026 Sir Richard Williams Foundation Seminar. One of the more thought-provoking presentations at the seminar came from Alexander Robinson, Sales and Capability Director at Pilatus Aircraft Australia. Robinson opened with a self-deprecating acknowledgment: he had spent the previous evening sitting next to Air Chief Marshall Binskin, trying to make the turboprop training argument against a career’s worth of carrier landing experience, Mirage time, Hornet time, and F-16 time. He called it “a valuable discourse.” His escape hatch, he said, was to frame the entire discussion as being about providing options, not selling platforms. That framing was more than rhetorical cover. It was the intellectual spine of the presentation. The Core Argument: Training as Operational Terrain Robinson’s central argument cuts against the grain of how training is conventionally discussed in defense circles. He is not making an education argument, and he is deliberately not making a platform argument. He is making what he calls a “combat generation” argument or the claim that Phase 4 training design has direct strategic consequences for mass, depth, and survivability, especially in a high-threat and fiscally constrained environment. The point is not subtle. Australia fields a genuinely tier-one Air Force, exceptional platforms operated by high-quality people, but at limited scale, across a vast operating area, with finite surge depth relative to task demand. In that context, as Robinson put it, “the training pipeline itself becomes operational terrain.” Every instructor posting, every red air sortie, every jet hour consumed for training is an opportunity cost: it represents combat-ready mass that either exists or does not when the call comes. The harder question, Robinson argued, is not simply whether Australia is training well. It is whether the training system is designed to generate and sustain combat-ready mass at the tempo the strategic environment demands. That is a different question entirely and it is one that the current architecture may not be optimally positioned to answer. The Fifth Generation Mismatch In fifth generation air combat, the center of gravity in the cockpit has shifted. Modern fighters are in many respects easier to fly than their predecessors but considerably harder to employ effectively. As Robinson observed, aircrew today are managing far more sensors, far more data, and far more complex tactical situations. The aircraft has become a decision node, not merely a weapons platform. The pilot is functioning as a conductor rather than a musician. The competencies that now dominate modern air combat, systems thinking, cognitive prioritization, situational awareness, decision-making under pressure, timeline control, are being developed late in the pipeline, often largely at the OCU level. Meanwhile, expensive jet hours are being consumed earlier for training events that do not require jet-specific performance to achieve the required training effect. The result is the familiar combination: bottlenecks, downstream remediation, and pressure concentrated at the most expensive end of the system. Robinson was careful to frame this as a system design problem, not a failure of people or effort. That distinction matters. It means the solution is also systemic, not a question of working harder within the existing architecture but of rethinking the architecture itself. Training Realism Defined by Effect, Not Platform The core design principle Robinson offered is deceptively simple: training realism should be defined by the effect, not by the platform. Each training task should be delivered by the lowest cost platform that can credibly deliver the required training outcome, whether that is a simulator, a turboprop, an advanced jet trainer, or a frontline aircraft. The goal is to protect what he calls “the jet-only envelope” and to be explicit and disciplined about where that envelope actually begins. There are tasks that genuinely require jets: high alpha, sustained high-G maneuvering, transonic acceleration, mass fuel flow management, specific excess power. Those effects are envelope-specific, not merely syllabus-specific, and they belong in jets. But many of the highest-value training tasks are cognitive, procedural, and decision-based rather than kinematic. Radar mechanics, intercept geometry, tactical formation, data link discipline, attack decision-making, the closure rates change on a turboprop, but the decision points do not. If the trainee is making the same calls, in the same sequence, under the same cognitive pressure, the training effect is being generated. This logic points toward what Robinson describes as a hybrid Phase 4 construct: cognitive-dense tasks delivered on a high-performance turboprop integrated with embedded mission training suites and potentially live-virtual-constructive capabilities, while jets are reserved for the irreducible envelope that only jets can teach. The objective is not to pretend a turboprop is a fighter. It is to stop using jets for tasks that do not actually require them. The Allied Precedents: Switzerland and France Robinson grounded the argument in operational precedents rather than theory. Switzerland has trained fighter pilots exclusively on turboprops since 2008. It is one of at least four nations operating a direct turboprop-to-fighter pipeline, transitioning directly from the PC-21 to the F/A-18C and shortly to the F-35. The Swiss made this shift incrementally, after operating Hawks and F-5s as advanced jet trainers—and what instructor and student feedback has consistently shown is that the hardest transition was not PC-21 to Hornet but PC-7 to PC-21. The cognitive load explanation accounts for that; the kinematic explanation does not. Importantly, Switzerland has reported no requirement to double training time and no degradation in operational outcomes. France offers a parallel data point. The French Air and Space Force replaced a mixed fleet of Epsilons and Alpha Jets with a single PC-21 fleet for transition directly to Rafale and Mirage. The results: a fivefold reduction in maintenance and operational costs, fuel savings, improved training flow, and no change in downstream operational performance. What the French have been explicit about is that the primary value of the PC-21 is not kinematic replication. It is systems management exposure, decision discipline, and structured deep debriefing, precisely those fifth-generation skills that Robinson identifies as the current pipeline’s gap. Both services openly acknowledge their limitations, high alpha, sustained specific excess power, the absence of external stores. Robinson’s point is not that these limitations are irrelevant but that they can be mitigated through syllabus design and a protected jet envelope, rather than by holding onto legacy platforms that were designed for a different training logic. What These Forces Have Done and What It Means for Australia Robinson’s summary formulation is worth sitting with: these forces have traded platform purity for training system resilience. They have strengthened their combat generation capability and their scalability as a result—both upward and downward. The argument is not that Australia should copy Switzerland or France. As Robinson put it, there are no perfect solutions, only trade-offs, and the goal is to help Air Force design the training system as a system of systems so that air power can be genuinely scalable across all four training phases. He closed with something more personal and more revealing about the intellectual posture behind the presentation. He had considered swapping out one of his slides to feature the forthcoming PC-21X, a platform refresh Pilatus is set to announce later in 2026. He thought better of it. To do so would have been, as he put it, “disingenuous to the first point I made” that this is not about a platform. What Pilatus wants, what industry wants, and what Robinson said he personally wants as an Australian, is a training system that produces aircrew ready for OCU at the standard required: the right knowledge, skills, attitudes, and mission-critical competencies so that when those young men and women get to the frontline, they fight tonight, they win tomorrow, and they come home. The Broader Context Robinson’s presentation connects to a broader theme running through the Williams Foundation seminar and through the wider conversation about Australian strategic advantage: the question of how to generate and sustain effective air power at scale in a fiscally constrained environment, against a threat that is evolving and across an operating area that demands both range and presence. The training pipeline is not typically where those conversations begin. Robinson’s argument is that it should be because the pipeline is where the force is made or unmade before the fight begins. The kill web construct that Ed Timperlake and I have developed over the years places significant weight on the depth and resilience of the force, not merely on the exquisite capability of individual platforms. A training system designed as Robinson describes would contribute directly to the intelligent mass side of the equation: more air crew, progressed further and faster, with the cognitive tools to function as effective decision nodes in a networked, distributed fight. That is not a training abstraction. It is a combat generation problem. And Robinson is right that it has strategic consequences. The paper Robinson referenced published in The Air and Space Power Journal and forthcoming in condensed form in the ASPI Journal is worth reading for those who want the analytical foundations in full. ∗The presentation itself, delivered to a room that included some of the most experienced airmen in the Indo-Pacific region, was a model of how an industry representative can contribute to a serious strategic conversation: by leading with the operational logic, letting the platform follow if it must, and keeping the focus on the outcome that actually matters.∗ ∗ https://ciasp.scholasticahq.com/article/158558-better-faster-smarter-scalable-aircrew-training-for-modern-air-power ∗ The paper addresses the urgent need for scalable aircrew training in the Indo-Pacific context, where modern aviators must manage information at tempo, make autonomous decisions under pressure, and coordinate effects within joint, complex, and often degraded battlespace conditions. Robinson’s work emphasizes how Australia’s strategic environment, characterized by accelerating military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and potential high-intensity conflict—elevates the premium on adaptable, integrated air power. See my own book, on the same subject: Training for the High End Fight: The Paradigm Shift for Combat Pilot Training Also published in DefenceInfo
- Space as a Fight Tonight Domain: Jeremy King on Australia’s Strategic Imperative
'Space as a Fight Tonight Domain: Jeremy King on Australia’s Strategic Imperative' in Fight Tonight: Combat Readiness at the Speed of Relevance Proceedings - Paper 5, Sir Richard Williams Foundation Seminar, 23 April 2026 By Robbin Laird Jeremy King speaking to the 23 April 2026 Sir Richard Williams Foundation Seminar. At the Williams Foundation Seminar on the Fight Tonight Force held on 23 April 2026, Jeremy King’s, Chief Executive of Lockheed Martin Australia and New Zealand, central argument was straightforward, even if its implications are not: space is no longer a distant frontier or a strategic luxury. It is essential infrastructure, and it is already under attack. The fight tonight is not coming. It is happening now. The Infrastructure Dependency In Plain sight He opened by grounding the audience in a reality that defense planners have long understood intellectually but have been slow to operationalize. Space-based systems now underpin not just military operations but the entire functioning architecture of modern society, position, timing, navigation, communications, banking, weather, insurance, and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. Australia’s own independent review of critical infrastructure security has catalogued space as a dependency across every sector it examined. That dependency is deepening precisely as the threat is intensifying. King pointed to the sheer density now accumulating in low Earth orbit — thousands of satellites today, tens of thousands anticipated — and the sobering mathematics of what happens when maneuvering capability is lost. A recently published analysis found that at current orbital density, without active collision avoidance, the time to first collision would be measured in days, not years. That is not a distant risk scenario. It is a physics problem playing out in real time. But the physical threats — solar weather, collision risk — are only part of the picture. The more operationally relevant threats are the ones being prosecuted by state actors right now. King was direct: jamming, spoofing, and unsolicited rendezvous and proximity operations are not edge cases. They are standing features of the current gray zone contest. When he described the boundary between hard kill and soft kill as “wafer thin” in any operation where space dependencies are paramount, he was describing the operational environment his former colleagues inside the ADF are managing today. The Fight Tonight Frame Applied to Space The seminar theme — fight tonight — took on particular weight in King’s remarks. He was explicit that space is already a contested operational domain. The cyber attack on a satellite ground system at the outset of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was not an anomaly; it was a preview. The ongoing electronic warfare contest in Ukraine, the persistent interference campaigns in the Middle East, these are not future scenarios. They are data points from the current fight. This framing has direct implications for how Australia structures its space architecture. King drew on the PACE methodology — Primary, Alternative, Contingency, Emergency — as a framework for thinking about resilience across degraded operational conditions. The point is not simply to build better satellites. It is to build architectures that can absorb degradation and continue to deliver effect. Primary systems must be resilient by design and fit for purpose in a contested threat environment. Alternative systems, including commercial capabilities, must be integrated to augment requirements. Contingency and emergency solutions must exist for the genuinely denied environment. This is not a new concept in resilience thinking, but its application to the space domain has lagged badly behind the threat. King did not shy away from saying so. He noted, pointedly, that the pace of space technology development has outrun procurement timelines, a dynamic that those serving as delivery managers inside Defence are experiencing directly. The systems being bought today must be able to do more than “fight tonight.” They must survive the first night and maintain an assured path to continued access thereafter. The Collaborative Imperative King was emphatic that space superiority, for Australia, is not achievable unilaterally. The ADF leadership has said as much consistently, and he reinforced it with substance. Just the previous month, Lieutenant General Coyle hosted a gathering of space chiefs at the Australian War Memorial with the explicit intent of building collaborative relationships and reinforcing shared access to space technologies. The diplomatic architecture of space competition is being assembled through these practitioner-level engagements, not through formal treaty negotiation. The industrial dimension of this collaboration is where King’s remarks carried the most operational weight. He pointed to Lockheed Martin’s work with Japan on next-generation anti-jamming military communication satellites as a model for what allied co-development can deliver, capabilities designed with regional threat considerations at heart, built to meet the needs of the warfighter today and into the future. The recently launched tenth GPS III satellite, the final in that series, represents a generation of capability offering substantially improved accuracy, coverage, and anti-jamming performance over its predecessors. GPS IIIF, the successor series, is already under construction with even more robust counter-EW features. Interoperability and resilience, in King’s formulation, are not simply technical requirements. They are the mechanisms through which allied force multiplication in the space domain becomes real. Nations that collaborate on space programs achieve more than the sum of their individual investments. They build shared architectures that are harder to degrade comprehensively and that create redundancy at the alliance level, not just the national level. The Australian Industry Dimension King was careful to anchor his remarks in Australian sovereign capability, and the picture he painted was more encouraging than many in the room might have expected. Australia has world-class companies operating in the space domain, exporting globally across civil, commercial, and military sectors. Nevaeh Technologies out of Adelaide, a graduate of Lockheed Martin’s mentor-protégé program, and Salentium Defence are examples of what Australian industry can deliver when given access to the global supply chain. FCOM Space and Defence, Black Tree Technology, Gilmore Space, and Space Machines Company round out a roster of companies that, in his telling, are genuinely competitive on the international stage. Lockheed Martin’s Australian industrial participation program has surpassed $225 million in export contracts with Australian companies, a portion of which flows directly into the space sector. King’s point was that the sovereign industry base Australia needs to underwrite its space resilience is not a distant ambition. It exists now. The challenge is to integrate it deliberately into the ADF’s space architecture rather than treating it as an afterthought to large prime-contractor programs. This is where King positioned the role of the primes. Rather than positioning Lockheed Martin as the solution to Australia’s space challenges — a pitch he deliberately stepped back from — he articulated a prime systems integrator model in which the major defense companies serve as the connective tissue linking Australian small and medium enterprises into global supply chains and allied program structures. That is a different framing than the traditional prime contractor model, and it is one that aligns better with the sovereign industrial capability objectives Australia has been articulating since the Defence Strategic Review. What Fight Tonight Actually Demands There was a thread running through King’s remarks that connects directly to the broader seminar theme. Fight tonight is not a readiness standard that applies only to aircraft and submarines and soldiers. It applies to the domain that makes everything else function. An F-35 without assured communications, navigation, and ISR from space is a diminished platform. A joint force without assured space access is not a joint force in any operationally meaningful sense. It is a collection of platforms attempting to coordinate through degraded and contested channels. The 2026 Secure World Foundation counter-space capabilities report, which King cited, is now tracking thirteen nations with counter-space programs, up from three in 2018. That trajectory does not suggest a domain that will stabilize. It suggests a domain in which the competitive pressure will intensify, the gray zone contest will continue, and the premium on resilient architecture will grow.∗ King’s contribution at the seminar was to make that case with the credibility that comes from having sat on both sides of the capability acquisition table, as a delivery manager inside the ADF and now as an industry executive. His argument for resilience by design, for collaborative architecture with allies and partners, and for deliberate integration of Australian industry into global space programs is not a marketing pitch. It is a practitioner’s assessment of what fight tonight actually demands in the domain that underpins all others. The question that follows from his remarks is the one the seminar was designed to address: does Australia’s current approach to space capability — its procurement timelines, its industrial integration, its collaborative architecture with allies — match the fight tonight standard? King’s implicit answer was that the gap remains, but that the pieces to close it are present. The challenge now is organizational will and procurement speed. Note: This is the first article covering the second session of speakers at the seminar. The presentations during the second session of the seminar will published throughout this week. Notes Lockheed Martin, “Small Business Programs: Mentor Protégé Program,” https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/suppliers/small-business-programs/Programs.html. “Silentium Defence Becomes Second Australian Company to Graduate from the Lockheed Martin Mentor Protégé Program (MPP),” news release, Lockheed Martin Australia, November 9, 2023, https://lockheedmartinau.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=2429&item=122663. Andrew McLaughlin, “Silentium Passive Radar Selected for Land 156,” Australian Defence Magazine, January 18, 2026, https://www.australiandefence.com.au/defence/land/silentium-passive-radar-selected-for-land-156. “Silentium Defence World‑Class Passive Radar Technology Selected for LAND 156,” Silentium Defence, February 9, 2026, https://www.silentiumdefence.com.au/silentium-defence-world-class-passive-radar-technology-selected-for-land-156/. “Gilmour Space Technologies | Launching Rockets and Satellites to Orbit,” Gilmour Space Technologies, https://www.gspace.com. “Gilmour Space Secures Major Funding,” Australian Defence Magazine, January 20, 2026, https://www.australiandefence.com.au/defence/cyber-space/gilmour-space-secures-major-funding. ∗ Secure World Foundation, Global Counterspace Capabilities: An Open Source Assessment, 2026 (Broomfield, CO: Secure World Foundation, 2026). Also published in DefenceInfo
- From Prototypes to Operational Realities: Australia’s Maritime Autonomous Systems Unit and the Tasks That Cannot Wait
'From Prototypes to Operational Realities: Australia’s Maritime Autonomous Systems Unit and the Tasks That Cannot Wait' Interview with Marcus Hellyer, Head of Research at Strategic Analysis Australia By Robbin Laird Alexander Robinson speaking to the 23 April 2026 Sir Richard Williams Foundation Seminar. Australia’s Maritime Autonomous Systems Unit, the MASU, stands at an inflection point. The period of experimentation and prototype evaluation that has defined the past several years of Australian engagement with unmanned maritime systems must now give way to something harder to achieve and more consequential: operational delivery. The pressure is not abstract. Australia faces a significant hull gap as its surface combatant fleet ages and new vessels remain years from delivery. The AUKUS pathway toward nuclear‑powered submarines promises transformative capability but on a timeline measured in decades. In the meantime, the strategic environment is not waiting. The question is whether MASU will rise to meet it as an operational command with real mission responsibilities, or remain primarily a niche capability and development cell within Navy’s bureaucracy. In a wide‑ranging conversation, defence analyst Marcus Hellyer, Head of Research at Strategic Analysis Australia and former Senior Analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, engaged with these questions directly. What emerged was both a frank assessment of where Australia currently stands and a practical agenda for what MASU should be doing right now. The Bolt‑Action Rifle Principle The instinct to treat maritime autonomous systems as precursors to some future perfected capability waiting until doctrine is fully developed, until the optimal platform arrives, until the concept of operations is airtight is precisely the trap Hellyer wants to avoid. He reached for a durable analogy: the bolt‑action rifle. If you look at a bolt‑action rifle as a prototype of some perfect firearm arriving thirty or forty years down the track, you miss the utility it offers right now in its own context. It kills people perfectly well. The same logic applies to maritime autonomous systems today. We know what Bluebottle USVs can do. We have seen them conduct fisheries surveillance operations. We have a good picture of their reliability from company testing and exercises such as Autonomous Warrior. The question is not whether these systems are ready for something; they are. The question is what that something should be. The answer lies not in the systems themselves but in the operational problems Australia already has and can already see coming. Learning by doing, iterating against real mission requirements, generating real data, these are the activities of an operational command, not a purely developmental one. The Hull Gap as Strategic Opportunity The Australian shipbuilding program’s well‑documented delivery challenges create an opportunity to reframe the hull gap. Rather than treating the absence of new surface combatants as simply a problem to be managed, the question becomes: how can maritime autonomous systems help bridge that gap operationally over the coming decade? The common objection that the vast distances of the Indo‑Pacific make Australian autonomous systems irrelevant compared to the compact operating environment of Ukraine’s Black Sea campaign does not hold up to scrutiny. Industry is already producing relatively small autonomous systems with strategically relevant reach: sufficient, in principle and depending on payload and configuration, to operate from Australia into the northern archipelago, from Guam to the Philippines, from the Philippines toward Taiwan. The geometry is no longer prohibitive. This reframing also changes how to think about what MASU should prioritize. Extending reach into the first island chain, managing water space to Australia’s north, building comprehensive port security for facilities that will eventually host nuclear‑powered submarines, these are not science fiction. They are near‑term operational requirements that autonomous systems, fielded thoughtfully and connected to real CONOPS, can begin addressing now. Protecting the Submarines Before They Arrive Hellyer’s sharpest observation concerned what he sees as the most underappreciated vulnerability in the AUKUS submarine pathway. He is not particularly worried about whether Australia eventually acquires and crews nuclear‑powered submarines; that will happen. Nor is he losing sleep over the prospect that technological advances will suddenly make submarines transparent to detection, vessels operating at the speeds and depths modern submarines achieve remain profoundly difficult to find. What concerns him deeply is survivability in port and during transit to open water. Submarines often spend the majority of their operational lives in port or in dry dock. HMAS Stirling, Australia’s primary naval base near Perth, will become the home of some of the most valuable and strategically consequential vessels in the Australian Defence Force. The question of how to defend that base against the full range of threats that will exist when those vessels arrive and that already exist today demands urgent attention. The threat picture is layered and diverse. Long‑range ballistic missiles can reach Australian ports. Autonomous surface and underwater vehicles, potentially carrying small missiles or drone payloads, can be launched from considerable distances. Container ships, as Hellyer and I discussed, can serve as covert launch platforms, a pattern with both Iranian activities and World War II precedent. Short‑range drones do not need long range if the platform carrying them does. In a plausible worst‑case scenario, a high‑value submarine damaged or destroyed by a very low‑cost drone, launched from a long‑range unmanned platform, would represent a catastrophic return‑on‑investment failure. The response architecture, layered air defence, counter‑drone systems, underwater barrier operations, surface surveillance networks, is not futuristic. It is anticipatable and buildable now. And HMAS Stirling offers a ready‑made development environment. Whatever defensive architecture Australia learns to build around Stirling can subsequently be applied offensively to bottle up adversary forces at strategic chokepoints. The skills and the mesh networks transfer. The ISR Grid as Foundation Hellyer’s specific operational suggestion, deploying thin‑line sonar arrays on Bluebottle USVs and potentially on larger UUVs such as Speartooth and Ghost Shark, points toward a broader architectural principle. For relatively modest investment, Australia could begin placing large numbers of underwater sensors across the approaches to its major ports and along the transit corridors its submarines will need to use. These systems could form the beginning of a defensive anti‑submarine warfare barrier. But the value of this activity extends beyond its immediate tactical purpose. Every sensor network of this kind generates data, and the task of collecting, distributing, and acting on that data whether through USV‑to‑USV relay, USV‑to‑aircraft handoff, or satellite distribution builds exactly the mesh‑networking competency that more advanced future systems will require. It almost does not matter precisely how the data flows are resolved in early iterations. What matters is that the force learns to resolve them, because that learning is the foundation upon which future capability is built. Fleet Mix: Not a Capital Ship One of the more important conceptual points to emerge from the conversation concerns the fundamental difference in how to think about autonomous maritime systems compared to capital ships. A capital ship is designed to do everything itself. It is an integrated weapons and sensor platform. An autonomous maritime systems fleet is optimized differently: multiple specialized platforms, each contributing different capabilities, working together toward a combined effect. Hellyer raised the cautionary example of Triton as a warning about what happens when autonomous systems are asked to replicate everything a traditional exquisite manned platform can do. The result is predictable: development takes as long, costs as much, and produces as few units. The whole point of the autonomous systems revolution, its promise of intelligent mass over exquisite scarcity, is lost. Mine Countermeasures, Amphibious Support, and the Full Mission Set The conversation identified three immediate mission sets for MASU that extend well beyond the Ukrainian‑inspired port‑strike scenario that dominates public discussion. First, underwater barrier operations to protect submarine transit corridors and deny adversary UUVs the ability to lay mines in approaches to Australian ports. Second, comprehensive port security, including defence against drone swarms, autonomous surface vessels, and other asymmetric threats, which carries commercial value as well as military utility. The threat to merchant shipping approaching Australian ports is real and does not require state‑level adversaries to materialize. Third, and perhaps most overlooked: mine countermeasures. As Hellyer noted candidly, Australia, like most Western nations, has allowed its mine countermeasure capability to atrophy significantly. The most effective response to a mine threat is to prevent mines from being laid in the first place, and autonomous systems operating persistent barrier patrols around port approaches offer a practical mechanism for doing exactly that. The Offshore Patrol Vessels already in service, integrated with USV and UUV capabilities, represent an existing asset combination that could deliver this mission without waiting for new procurement. The 2023 Defence Strategic Review and the subsequent National Defence Strategy have directed the Australian Army towards a more explicitly amphibious and littoral operational focus. Maritime USVs have obvious roles in amphibious operations: sanitizing landing zones, conducting ISR in contested littoral environments, providing persistent surveillance of the operational space ahead of landing forces. Given the deep operational relationship between the Australian Defence Force and the United States Marine Corps, this is an area where coordinated development could produce capabilities valuable to both forces. Strategic Rear Defence and the Alliance Value Proposition The conversation closed with a point that deserves more prominent attention in Australian strategic discourse. Japan, South Korea, and the United States increasingly regard Australia as a strategic rear area, a secure base from which to sustain and regenerate forces operating in the western Pacific. That strategic value is only as durable as Australia’s ability to actually defend its ports, its logistics nodes, and its maritime approaches. A robust MASU, one genuinely delivering operational effects rather than conducting perpetual prototype evaluation, is therefore not merely an Australian defence capability. It is a contribution to allied deterrence, a demonstration that the strategic rear is credibly defended, and potentially a model for collaborative capability development that partners could invest in and contribute to. The alliance value proposition runs in both directions. Hellyer noted that real progress is being made in Australian thinking about autonomous systems after years of what he considered excessive caution. The investments are real. The conceptual advances are real. But the gaps remain, and the timeline pressure is intensifying. The adversarial autonomous systems that might threaten Australian ports are not waiting for MASU’s concept of operations to mature. A large UUV capable of travelling from the northern approaches to Australia to its major ports is essentially a question of battery volume, platform size, and design choices, rather than a distant technological fantasy. Conclusion: Focus on Real‑World Mission Requirements MASU should be focused on real mission requirements: port security, submarine transit protection, barrier ASW operations, mine countermeasure support, and amphibious ISR requirements. The Maritime Border Command already demonstrates what this looks like: an operational force using Australian‑built systems to deliver real‑world surveillance effects. The bolt‑action rifle is not a prototype of the machine gun. It is a weapon that kills people effectively right now. Australia’s maritime autonomous systems are not prototypes of some future fleet. They are capable systems that can begin delivering operational effects today, against threats that are already evident, in defence of infrastructure that cannot afford to wait. Marcus Hellyer is Head of Research at Strategic Analysis Australia and former Senior Analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. He is the author of multiple editions of The Cost of Defence and holds a Master’s and PhD in History and the History of Science from the University of California, San Diego, as well as a Master’s in Strategic Studies. Also published in Second Line of Defense






